Forecast
Regime-split DWGM price forecast with calibrated P10/P90 bands — beating persistence and rolling-7-day baselines, reported honestly per WINTER / NON-WINTER.
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Forecast model not live yet
The product ships first; the forecaster (the edge) comes next. The API contract is already wired — this screen will render the calibrated forecast, P10/P90 band, and per-schedule lines the moment trained artefacts exist. No numbers are shown until they are real and validated.
Why the price moved — driver attribution
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What will appear here
- • Next-day price forecast per schedule (BOD, 10AM, 2PM, 6PM, 10PM).
- • Calibrated P10/P90 uncertainty band (≥ 80% coverage target).
- • EDD-vs-price sensitivity and the top driver attributions.
- • Full lineage: features → model version → conformal calibration → result.
Validation gates (before any forecast ships)
- • Beats persistence and rolling-7-day baselines.
- • P10–P90 coverage ≥ 80%.
- • WINTER and NON-WINTER RMSE reported separately.
- • No tuning to the test set; unmet targets stated plainly.