Drivers & Climate
The public signals behind the price — weather (EDD) and demand (scheduled withdrawals) — and how tightly they move with the market. Correlations are observed, not causal.
Regime
—
Latest EDD
—
EDD vs average
0th pct
avg 0.0
Price–EDD corr
—
insufficient data
Effective Degree Day (VIC) — weather-load signal
No data available yet.
Scheduled withdrawals by zone (GJ) — latest day
No data available yet.
Price vs EDD — how weather tracks price
No data available yet.
Each point is one gas day: heating demand (EDD) against the daily weighted-average price. Correlation — (insufficient data).
What's moving the market (rule-based)
- Heating demand is soft — latest EDD sits at the 0th percentile of the observed window.
- The market is in its — regime (the price–weather link is typically tighter in WINTER).
- Observed price–EDD correlation is insufficient data. This is an association on public data, not a forecast — calibrated forecasts arrive with the model.